Both tracks, 2026–2045
The curves
Solid line is the track you’re on. The faint line is the other one. The vertical marker is the year on the scrubber.
- Elon’s Track
- Best Guess Track
World GDP
Multiple of 2026 output. Elon’s Track hits 2× around 2031.
Humanoid robots
Elon’s Track: a billion by 2036. Best Guess sits between the bank forecasts.
Labor supply
Billion human-equivalents. The dashed line is every worker on Earth.
Prices vs. 2026
Fill = goods. Line = housing. 100 = 2026 prices.
Paid hours per week
Not unemployment — optionality. People can still work; they no longer have to in order to eat.